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Who has been put out of work and sent home ?

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Been waiting on MEPS to finish my medical review so I can ship off to OCS - been months of back and forth - in the meantime I have been keeping busy and traveling - now I'm just sitting and waiting. MEPS was deemed essential so they are still working but there is a slow up in the processing there. I am scheduled to go over to FLETC in May but just heard that guys are being sent home from FLETC so may get pushed back... oh well... still alive.
 
Been waiting on MEPS to finish my medical review so I can ship off to OCS - been months of back and forth - in the meantime I have been keeping busy and traveling - now I'm just sitting and waiting. MEPS was deemed essential so they are still working but there is a slow up in the processing there. I am scheduled to go over to FLETC in May but just heard that guys are being sent home from FLETC so may get pushed back... oh well... still alive.
What is MEPS, OCS (Officer Candidate School?), FLETC ??
 
Military
Entrance
Processing
Station.
 
What does that mean?
 
Well, yeah....
Hurry up and wait.
 
I hear/see a lot of numbers put forth about the Covid 19 virus. The one I have some trouble with is the reported death rate. It has been suggested that the death rate is around 1.3% (about 4 times worse that the flu). I get that, but I don't think most people understand just how the flu numbers are generated. It goes like this: Laboratory-confirmed influenza-associated hospitalization rates are obtained from the Influenza Hospitalization Surveillance Network (FluSurv-NET), a collaboration between CDC, the Emerging Infections Program Network, and selected state and local health departments in 13 geographically distributed areas in the United States that conduct population-based surveillance. The network includes hospitals that serve roughly 9% of the U.S. population. The reported numbers of hospitalizations are used to calculate hospitalization rates and the rates are adjusted to correct for under-detection of influenza. This adjustment is done by using the percent of persons hospitalized with respiratory illness who were tested for influenza and the average sensitivity of influenza tests used in the participating FluSurv-NET hospitals. The data on influenza testing can lag up to two years after the end of the season, so for more recent seasons, testing data from prior seasons is used. (From the CDC website). Okay, to sum it up the CDC uses a mathematical model to estimate the numbers of influenza illnesses, medical visits, hospitalizations, and deaths in the United States. HANG IN THERE MY RANT IS ALMOST OVER. Now look at how the Covid 19 death rate was reported back on March 3rd: Total number of confirmed case (90,893) divided by the total number of deaths (3,110) That gives you a death rate of 3.42% Problem is this number is not accurate since your not using the same type of model. This< I believe is more accurate:
Dr. Toni Ho, a consultant in infectious diseases at the Medical Research Council (MRC)–University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research, U.K., echoes similar sentiments.
She goes on to suggest that the figure of 3.4% is likely an exaggeration, mainly due to the challenges of calculating mortality rates outlined above.
“The quoted mortality rate of 3.4% is taken from confirmed deaths over total reported cases. This is likely an overestimate, as a number of countries, such as the United States (112 confirmed, 10 deaths) and Iran (2,336 cases, 77 deaths), have had limited testing. Hence, few of the mild cases have been picked up, and [the total number of cases] we are observing is the tip of the iceberg.”

In fact, the overestimation could be 10 times higher than the reality, notes Mark Woolhouse, a professor of infectious disease epidemiology at the University of Edinburgh, U.K.

f a significant number of mild cases have been missed or not reported, then this [3.4%] estimate is too high.”

“Though there is disagreement about this, some studies have suggested that it is approximately 10 times too high. This would bring the death rate in line with some strains of influenza.”

– Prof. Mark Woolhouse
 
Sorry for the rant, working with numbers a good chunk of the day, I just get a little upset when they just don't add up.
 
Sounds like a logical argument you present. I’ve wondered a bit as well about the flu comparison. I hope these numbers/projections are way to high.....
 
The stimulus was passed and the amount is mindboggling. I also saw what Denmark was doing

https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/03/denmark-freezing-its-economy-should-us/608533/

where they are paying people's salaries. The article said something similar to our stimulus could work if we did that. Thought I would check.

Unless I am wrong, their 2.6 number would give about 16K/ working person employed and unemployed. IF we went with the 6T # that the admin requested it could be more than 30K per person with 1 trillion left over.

The numbers are truly mind boggling.

I think we are giving some money out but don't see my family qualifying. Most will go to rescue business.
 
Think long term. If it doesn't go to business there will be lots of people permanently with out jobs. Their store fronts maybe closed but the bills dont stop. Just like yours and mine the bills keep coming in.
 
The numbers are mind boggling but easily seen when 1400 pages is looked at and most has ZERO to due with corona virus....
 
I stayed home yesterday. I've had some trouble sleeping lately. I remember feeling stressed before the 2016 election and I was having trouble sleeping then too.
I go about my business just fine but I wonder if the almost constant onslaught of CV news has had an effect on my subconcious.
I've had some really strange dreams too.
Today at work the man mentioned a NEW company policy:
Anyone that calls in sick MUST provide a medical clearance before returning IF they show signs of a cold, Flu or other seasonal ailments.
 
I stayed home yesterday. I've had some trouble sleeping lately. I remember feeling stressed before the 2016 election and I was having trouble sleeping then too.
I go about my business just fine but I wonder if the almost constant onslaught of CV news has had an effect on my subconcious.
I've had some really strange dreams too.
Today at work the man mentioned a NEW company policy:
Anyone that calls in sick MUST provide a medical clearance before returning IF they show signs of a cold, Flu or other seasonal ailments.
I have the same experiences. I haven’t felt well lately and I’m sure it’s stress induced and subconscious in nature. I can tell as it’s happened before when I was in my high stress corporate job. Something out of our control. We have to find adequate distractions...
 
Your numbers are old

23 deaths in FL alone.
 
Here's the deal with comparisons to the flu-

mortality rate for flu- up to .1 %

mortality rate for Covid-19- up to 5%

That's a hell of a difference.

Couple that with three times longer time to live on surfaces without a host and a three times longer incubation period.

That's what all the fuss is about.
 
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