OUT OF CONTEXT?

[GRAMSCAR]

How did we take this out of context?

"Statistically, who has the mask on is of utmost importance. If we take one infected person and one who is healthy, here’s what masks do:

If the infected person doesn’t wear a mask, but the healthy one does, there’s at 70% chance the healthy one will become infected
If the infected person wears a mask, but the healthy one doesn’t, there’s only a 5% chance the healthy one will become infected
But if both wear a mask, then there’s only a 1.5% chance that the healthy one will become infected
To put it another way, as a meme I saw does, if someone is trying to piss on your leg, but they have pants on, all they do is piss in their pants

Makes perfect sense and logic to me"

If you don't like the responses and decide to delete them, you should delete the post also, fair is fair. If you can't take the heat, get out of the kitchen!!

 

[Moparfiend]

Not sure I want to touch this but I do things I shouldn’t have all my life.

How does one know he is infected?

Assuming your numbers are correct. The difference if both wear masks is 5%- 1.5% = 3.5% benefit. If 2m get infected here in the US then 3.5% of 2m is 70,000 people. With a possible 2% death and permanent damage rate we are talking roughly 1400 lives per major outbreak event. Thats 200 more that died on the USS Arizona GBTS.

I think the above analysis is pretty sound but if you see an error or bad assumption let me know.

 

[Don Frelier]

The curve is more logarithmic not linear, so you can't just take a percentage and do simple math on assumed numbers.
When it spreads the curve isn't a straight line or y= Mx+b.

 

[Moparfiend]

The curve is more logarithmic not linear, so you can't just take a percentage and do simple math on assumed numbers.
When it spreads the curve isn't a straight line or y= Mx+b.

That makes a lot of sense since contamination is exponential. But I was trying to use the OP’s example which is linear or statistically based on only one to one exposure. Which by definition is not statistical.
How would you apply the logarithmic effect to show the effect of mask wearing difference?

 

[GRAMSCAR]

The intention of this thread was to point out, mainly to cr8crshr who posted it originally under thread MASK????, that when you post something in this section "Jokes, Funny Stuff, Anything Goes", It's not appropriate to delete all the responses and keep the post because you don't like the responses or feel you were "taken out of context". I'm not saying anything about the math, just saying my wife is in health care and the end of the world didn't happen. Unfortunately my response to MASK??? was deleted so....

 

[BB BELLA]

somebody **** my pants!